What’s Ahead For Mortgage Rates This Week – October 30, 2023

This week’s most significant data offered preliminary numbers for manufacturing and services PMI (Purchasing Managers Index). Both can serve as a forward indicator for the economy while providing insight into the current state of the cost of living for the service industry. While manufacturing met an expected rise for the end of October, services saw a contraction, falling to 46.6 from 49.3. Readings below 50.0 can be a sign of a downturn for the economy, particularly given the time of the year.

Mortgage Applications & Rates Indices
MBA Mortgage Applications Index saw a reduction of -1.0% in applications for the week, with rates once again increasing again week over week.

Primary Mortgage Market Survey Index

  • 15-Yr FRM rates are seeing a week-to-week increase by 0.11% with the current rate at 03%.
  • 30-Yr FRM rates are seeing a week-to-week increase by 0.16% with the current rate at 79%

MND Rate Index

  • 30-Yr FHA rates increased week to week with a -0.08% decrease for this week. Current rates at 32%
  • 30-Yr VA rates increased week to week with a -0.11% decrease for this week. Current rates at 33%

Personal Income & Spending

Personal income increased $77.8 billion (0.3 percent at a monthly rate) in September, according to estimates released today by the Bureau of Economic Analysis (table 2 and table 3). Disposable personal income (DPI), which is personal income less personal current taxes, increased $56.1 billion (0.3 percent), and personal consumption expenditures (PCE) increased $138.7 billion (0.7 percent).

  • The PCE price index increased 0.4 percent.
  • Excluding food and energy, the PCE price index increased 0.3 percent.

Key point: Personal income increased in September and spending accordingly rose, moving into October. This increase in income and spending is expected moving into the Holiday season. This is a strong sign for the Advanced GDP numbers for the remainder of the year.

Job Claims
Those who applied for unemployment benefits last week fell to a nine-month low of 188,000, subverting expectations that layoffs would rise as the U.S. interest rates continued to increase.
Initial Claims were 210,000 compared to the expected claims of 210,000. The prior week was at 211,000.

What’s Ahead
This week’s scheduled economic reports include ISM manufacturing data, S&P U.S. Manufacturing PMI, and Job Openings. The stronger data points of U.S. non-farm payrolls are coming at the end of the week on Friday.

Turned Down for a Mortgage? What to Do if You are Declined

If you have been declined for a mortgage, you may think that buying that new home is out of reach. However, there are ways to turn a rejection into an approval and to find a more accessible loan. Here are just a few steps you can take to learn about your loan options and get the mortgage that works for you.

Find Out Why The Mortgage Application Was Denied

The first step to getting a second opinion is to find out why your mortgage application was denied. Banks commonly deny mortgages for reasons like a low credit score, a high debt-to-income ratio, or concerns about the applicant’s past and present employment status.

To qualify for a mortgage, most lenders want to see someone with a credit score of 640, a debt-to-income ratio of less than 43 percent after the mortgage is included and at least 30 days in your current position if using wage income to qualify for the loan.

Not All Lenders View An Application The Same Way

A good reason why it is worthwhile to ask for a second opinion about your ability to get a loan is because no two lenders will view an application the same way. For one lender, a credit score of 650 is insufficient for getting a loan – but another lender might be more than happy to offer you a mortgage with a score of 650. To get a second opinion, you may wish to talk to a mortgage broker who will be able to scan a variety of loan programs to find one that works for you.

There Are Ways To Find Down Payment And Closing Cost Assistance

Those who have a low credit score or other questionable metrics may be able to qualify for a loan by offering a larger down payment. While a first-time buyer may not have the cash on hand to make a larger payment, there may be programs that provide grants or low-interest loans that can be used as part of your down payment or to help pay closing costs. With this extra money, it may be possible to overcome lender objections and obtain a mortgage.

If your mortgage application has been rejected, it doesn’t mean that you can’t get a mortgage from another lender. If you’re ready to buy a house but just need to clear the mortgage approval hurdle, there are ways to get a leg up.

What Are The Pros And Cons Of ‘No-Deposit’ Mortgage Deals For First-Time Buyers?

“No-deposit” mortgage deals for first-time buyers refer to mortgage options that allow buyers to purchase a home without having to put down a deposit or a down payment. Here are the pros and cons of such deals:

Pros:
Lower upfront costs: The most significant advantage of a no-deposit mortgage is that it eliminates the need for a substantial upfront deposit. This can be beneficial for first-time buyers who may struggle to save a large sum of money for a deposit.

Increased affordability: With a no-deposit mortgage, first-time buyers can purchase a home with a smaller amount of savings.

Potential investment opportunities: By utilizing a no-deposit mortgage, first-time buyers can allocate their savings toward other investments or use the funds for home improvements.

Cons:
Higher borrowing costs: No-deposit mortgages typically involve higher borrowing costs, including interest rates and fees. Lenders often consider these deals riskier, so they may offset the risk by charging higher interest rates or requiring additional insurance or guarantees.

Limited mortgage options: No-deposit mortgage deals are not as widely available as traditional mortgages. Lenders may have specific eligibility criteria or restrict the types of properties that qualify for these deals.

Negative equity risk: By not providing a deposit, buyers immediately start with little or no equity in their property. If property prices decrease, there is a higher risk of falling into negative equity. Negative equity occurs when the outstanding mortgage balance exceeds the value of the property.

Stricter eligibility criteria: Lenders offering no-deposit mortgages may impose stricter eligibility criteria. They may require a higher credit score, proof of stable income, or additional financial commitments. First-time buyers with a limited credit history or irregular income may find it more difficult to qualify for these deals.

Long-term financial implications: Opting for a no-deposit mortgage means taking on a higher level of debt. Buyers must carefully consider their long-term financial situation and ensure they can comfortably afford the mortgage repayments.

It is essential for first-time buyers to thoroughly research and assess their individual circumstances before committing to a no-deposit mortgage. Consulting with a mortgage advisor or financial professional can provide further guidance and help make an informed decision.