What’s Ahead For Mortgage Rates This Week – July 3, 2023

What's Ahead For Mortgage Rates This Week - Juy 3, 2023Last week’s scheduled economic news includes readings on inflation, new home sales, pending home sales, and consumer sentiment. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell spoke at a banking conference in Spain. Weekly reports on mortgage rates and jobless claims were also released.

New Home Sales Rise as Pending Home Sales Fall

May readings for new and pending home sales showed mixed results for May. 763,000 new home sales were expected on a seasonally-adjusted annual basis. Analysts expected a reading of 675,000 sales based on April’s year-over-year reading of 680,000 new home sales. May’s increase in new home sales was the largest since  February 2022.

New home sales increased for the third consecutive month. The supply of new homes for sale fell 11.80 percent between April and May to a 7-month supply of new homes available. Sales were strongest in the Northeast and West.

Pending home sales fell by -2.70 percent in May.

Mortgage Rates, Jobless Claims

Freddie Mac reported higher average mortgage rates last week. The average rate for 30-year fixed-rate mortgages rose by four basis points to 6.71 percent; the average rate for 15-year fixed-rate mortgages rose by three basis points to 6.06 percent.

Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell spoke at a banking conference in Spain. He discussed the U.S. economy and how the Fed addressed the financial downturn after the Great Recession and discussed current economic trends including the impact of higher mortgage rates on the housing sector and low unemployment.

Chair Powell also outlined the Fed’s goal of reducing inflation to 2.00 percent a year; it presently runs near 4.00 percent. Mr. Powell cited headwinds to lowering inflation including tighter credit requirements for individuals and businesses. Mr. Powell cautioned that further tightening may result from bank stresses that occurred in March.

June’s consumer sentiment index reading was nearly unchanged with an index reading of 64 for June as compared to May’s reading of 63.99. Index readings over 50 indicate that most consumers are confident about current economic conditions.

What’s Ahead

This week’s scheduled economic reports include readings on construction spending, public and private sector employment, and minutes of June’s Federal Open Market Committee meeting. Weekly reports on mortgage rates and jobless claims will also be released. 

What to Look For During Your Home Inspection

What To Look For During Your Home InspectionBuying a new home is an exciting and significant milestone in anyone’s life. However, it’s essential to approach the homebuying process with caution and thoroughness to ensure that you’re making a sound investment. One crucial step in the homebuying journey is the home inspection. A home inspection is a comprehensive evaluation of a property’s condition, aiming to uncover any potential issues or concerns that could affect its value or safety. Below are some tips to remember when navigating a home inspection.

Roof and Exterior:

The roof is your home’s first line of defense against the elements, so it’s crucial to examine it closely. Look for missing or damaged shingles, signs of leakage, and the overall condition of the roof.

Structural Integrity:

A solid foundation and sound structure are vital for the long-term stability and safety of your home. Inspect the foundation for cracks, unevenness, or signs of settling. Look out for any sagging or uneven floors, as they could indicate structural issues.

Plumbing and Electrical Systems:

Faulty plumbing or electrical systems can lead to significant problems and costly repairs. Test the faucets, showers, and toilets to ensure proper water flow and drainage. Check for leaks under sinks and around toilets. In terms of electrical systems, inspect the circuit breaker panel and look for any exposed wiring, outdated systems, or potential fire hazards.

HVAC Systems:

Heating, ventilation, and air conditioning (HVAC) systems are critical for maintaining a comfortable living environment. Have the HVAC systems thoroughly inspected to determine their condition and efficiency.

Insulation and Energy Efficiency:

Good insulation and energy-efficient features can greatly impact your home’s comfort and utility costs. Check the insulation in the attic, walls, and crawl spaces to ensure they meet the recommended standards. Inquire about the home’s energy efficiency features, such as double-pane windows, energy-efficient appliances, or renewable energy installations.

Pest and Mold Inspection:

Pests and mold can pose health risks and cause extensive damage to a home. Look for signs of pests such as droppings, chewed wood, or insect nests. Ask the inspector about any past or present pest infestations and the steps taken to address them.

A home inspection is a crucial step in the homebuying process that helps you make an informed decision about your investment. By paying close attention to the areas mentioned above, you can identify potential issues and negotiate repairs or adjustments with the seller. A thorough home inspection can provide peace of mind and ensure that you’re buying a home that meets your expectations in terms of safety, functionality, and value.

S&P Case-Shiller Housing Market Indices: Short Supply of Homes for Sale Pushes Prices Up

S&P Case-Shiller Housing Market Indices: Short Supply of Homes for Sale Pushes Prices UpApril readings for S&P Case-Shiller’s Housing Market Indices showed gains in home prices throughout the U.S. Rising prices were caused by shortages of previously-owned homes for sale and increasing buyer demand as the average 30-year mortgage rate exceeded six percent.  The southeastern region lost its top spot on S&P Case-Shiller’s 20-City Home Price Index as Chicago, Illinois, Atlanta, Georgia, and Tampa, Florida held the top three year-over-year home price growth rates for April.

Chicago, Illinois Breaks Southeast’s Lead on April Home Price Growth

The top three cities with the highest home price growth rates as reported in April’s   S&P Case-Shiller’s 20-City Home Price Index were Chicago, Illinois with a  year-over-year home price gain of 4.10 percent;  Atlanta, Georgia posted a year-over-year home price growth of 3.50 percent.  Tampa, Florida placed third in the 20-City Index with an average home price gain of 2.40 percent. All year-over-year readings for April home prices were seasonally adjusted.

Average home prices lagged in the West as the combined impact of high home prices and mortgage rates created affordability issues for would-be home buyers. Seattle, Washington saw average home prices drop by -12.40 percent year-over-year; San Francisco, California reported that year-over-year home prices declined by 11.10 percent in April. Home prices in Las Vegas, Nevada fell by 6.60 percent year-over-year.

Mortgage rates nearing 7 percent did not appear to impact home buyers to a great extent, but higher rates do increase the cost of home loans and monthly payments; current mortgage rates and rising home prices do not promote affordable opportunities for first-time and moderate-income home buyers.

FHFA House Price Index

In related news, the Federal Housing Finance Agency posted 0.50 percent month-to-month-home price growth in its  House Price Index for April. This index reports on home prices for homes sold by the Government Sponsored Enterprises Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. These homes were acquired through foreclosure and were subject to original loan limits established by FHFA for mortgages acquired or guaranteed by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac The GSEs’ loan limits cause a more moderate range of home price growth reported in  FHFA’s House Price Index as compared to data reported in the S&P Case-Shiller Home Price Indices.