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What’s Ahead For Mortgage Rates This Week – May 27th, 2025

Despite the recent pause on tariffs for Europe and progressing talks with China, the economic outlook remains largely negative across all sectors and markets. Although this week was relatively light on economic reports, the most notable was the Leading Economic Indicators, which showed a significant decline in every measurable category for April. This decline is largely attributed to the tariff policies implemented recently. Overall, the outlook remains pessimistic, despite other markets showing a more favorable reaction to the recent pauses on tariffs.

U.S. Leading Economic Indicators

The Conference Board Leading Economic Index (LEI) for the US fell sharply by 1.0% in April 2025 to 99.4 (2016=100), after declining by 0.8% in March (revised downward from the -0.7% originally reported). The LEI declined by 2.0% in the six-month period ending April 2025, the same rate of decline as over the previous six months (April–October 2024).

“The U.S. LEI registered its largest monthly decline since March 2023, when many feared the US was headed into recession, which did not ultimately materialize,” said Justyna Zabinska-La Monica, Senior Manager, Business Cycle Indicators, at The Conference Board. “Most components of the index deteriorated. Notably, consumers’ expectations have become continuously more pessimistic each month since January 2025, while the contribution of building permits and average working hours in manufacturing turned negative in April.

Primary Mortgage Market Survey Index

• 15-Yr FRM rates saw an increase of 0.09% for this week, with the current rate at 6.01%
• 30-Yr FRM rates saw an increase of 0.05% for this week, with the current rate at 6.86%

MND Rate Index

• 30-Yr FHA rates saw an increase of 0.18% for this week. Current rates at 6.53%
• 30-Yr VA rates saw an increase of 0.17% for this week. Current rates at 6.54%

Jobless Claims

Initial Claims were reported to be 227,000 compared to the expected claims of 230,000. The prior week landed at 229,000.

What’s Ahead

PCE Index data release, the Federal Reserve’s inflation indicator, the FOMC minutes giving us forward guidance for the Federal Reserve’s policy, and Univ. of Michigan Consumer Sentiment will be the most impactful releases of next week.

Honoring Our Heroes and Celebrating the Meaning of Home

This Memorial Day, we pause to remember the brave men and women who gave their lives in service to our country. Their courage, sacrifice, and commitment to freedom have made it possible for all of us to pursue our dreams, including the dream of home ownership.

What Home Truly Means
Home is more than four walls and a roof, more than a place to lay your head at night, it is where memories are made, milestones are reached, and futures are built. It is the front porch where your friends and neighbors gather, the backyard where barbecues bring families together, and the neighborhood that welcomes you. None of that would be possible without the dedication of those who fought to preserve our freedom.

Our Role in Building Dreams
In both the real estate and mortgage world, we have the privilege of helping individuals and families find a place to call home, a place they can grow, thrive, and live out the freedom so many fought to protect.

With Gratitude to the Families
On this solemn day, we also extend our deepest gratitude to the families of fallen heroes. Your strength and sacrifice do not go unnoticed. As we help our clients find homes and build futures, we carry that gratitude with us in everything we do.

Support for Those Who Serve
If you or someone you know is a veteran or active-duty service member, don’t forget there are special mortgage programs available to make homeownership more accessible. It’s one small way we can give back to those who have given so much.

Looking Ahead with Purpose
This Memorial Day, as we honor the past, we also look forward to helping build a future, one home, one family, and one dream at a time.

Wishing you peace, reflection, and time with loved ones on this Memorial Day holiday.

How Much Down Payment Do You Need for a Mortgage When Buying a Home?

If you’re considering buying a home, you’re likely wondering how much you’ll need for a down payment. The common belief is that you need to put down 20% of the home’s purchase price, but that’s not the only option and in many cases, it’s not even necessary.

Let’s break down what’s really required and explore your choices.

The Traditional 20% Rule
Traditionally, lenders prefer a 20% down payment. Why? Because it lowers their risk. If you’re purchasing a $200,500 home (the national median sales price), that is a down payment of $40,100. Understandably, many buyers, especially first-timer, struggle to save that much cash.

The good news is that a 20% down payment isn’t always required to qualify for a mortgage.

Low Down Payment Options
There are a number of loan programs that allow you to purchase a home with less than 20% down. For example:

  • FHA Loans typically require as little as 3.5% down.
  • Conventional Loans can offer down payments as low as 3%, depending on your credit score and financial profile.
  • VA Loans (for eligible veterans and military members) and USDA Loans (for certain rural areas) may require no down payment at all.

These programs are designed to make homeownership more accessible, especially for first-time buyers or those who qualify based on service or location.

The 80/20 Option
Another structure, though less common today, is the 80/20 loan. This involves taking out two mortgages: one for 80% of the home’s value, and a second, typically smaller loan for the remaining 20%. The benefit? No down payment is required upfront. However, the second loan usually comes with a higher interest rate, which can lead to higher monthly payments.

The 100% Financing Option
While 100% financing is harder to find due to tightened lending regulations, some lenders still offer it under specific conditions. These loans don’t require a down payment, but often come with:

  • Higher interest rates
  • Mandatory private mortgage insurance (PMI), which protects the lender
  • Stricter credit and income requirements

PMI is typically added to your monthly mortgage payment and continues until you’ve built at least 20% equity in the home.

The Trade-Off of No Down Payment Loans
While zero-down loans make it easier to buy a home sooner, they also come with trade-offs. You may qualify for a smaller loan amount, face higher monthly payments, and pay more in interest over time. In contrast, a larger down payment reduces your loan balance, improves your interest rate, and lowers your monthly payments.

If saving for a down payment feels overwhelming, don’t let that stop your homeownership goals. There are many programs available to help. Work with a loan officer who can help you explore the options that best match your financial situation and long-term goals.

Whether you’ve saved 3%, 10%, or the full 20%, there’s likely a mortgage option out there that fits your needs.